Parliamentary election has not changed spectrum of political forces in Moldova

The last Sunday's early parliamentary election in Moldova has not practically changed the layout of political forces in the republic, judging by the results of the processing of 90% ballot-papers.
INFOTAG, 29 November 2010, 9:27

According to the Central Election Commission data as at 0600 hrs on Monday, the Moldovan Communist Party continues to maintain lead in the number of votes received, 41.2%, but will not have a majority of mandates in the new forum.

The Premier Vladimir Filat's Liberal Democratic Party has received 28.1%, the Democratic Party led by Marian Lupu - 13.3%, and the Liberal Party headed by Acting President Mihai Ghimpu - 8.6%.

All the rest 16 political parties and movements have failed to clear the 4% electoral barrier. Of them, the parliamentary Moldova Noastră Alliance has polled 2.2%, two more parties - slightly over 1% each, and the rest organizations and all of the 19 independent candidates received less than 1%.

So, the proportion of political forces in parliament is going to be very similar to the one that existed before the elections, when the Communists had 43 mandates (initially, after the July 29, 2009 elections - 48) and the rest 4 parties that had united into the governing Alliance for European Integration - 53 mandates.

Now, the Communists may receive 44-45 mandates, the remaining 3 parties of the previous AEI - 55-56 mandates (32+16+12, respectively).

Some experts are not ruling out completely the possibility that the Democratic Party may eventually form a coalition with the Communist Party. This possibility seems more realistic if the duet comes to have 61 mandates - the minimum strength required for electing president of the republic. So far, however, there exists a fairly high probability that they will get only 60. In the run-up to the elections, DP leaders stated their party door remains open to a dialog with all parties. Last night, however, the same leaders made it clear that there shall be no coalition with the Communists.

In case the AEI is preserved by the remaining 3-of-4 parties, the majority Alliance will be strong enough to form a Government and state power organs, but not enough to elect a president.

There may yet be some changes in figures because the CEC has not yet processed all results at home and voting results in foreign countries (75 polling stations), but the general picture will hardly change by more than 1-2%.

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